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Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market Analysis, Size, Share & Growth Forecast 2026–2034

The Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market is projected to grow from USD 28.69 Bn in 2025 to USD 56.40 Bn by 2034, registering a CAGR of 7.80% during the 2026–2034 forecast period. The report provides comprehensive insights into key market trends, growth drivers, challenges, emerging opportunities, segment analysis, competitive landscape, and leading vendors shaping the industry. It also includes preliminary market intelligence, regional outlook, and strategic developments to support informed business decisions and market expansion strategies.

$28.69 Bn 2025 Market
$56.40 Bn 2034 Market Size (Est.)
7.80% CAGR 2026–34
4 Segments
Published June 2026
Updated June 2026
TrendX Insights Research
Global Coverage
Report Details
Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market
Report TypeSyndicated Market Research
Forecast Period2026 – 2034
Base Year2025
GeographyGlobal
IndustryFinancial Services
Segments4

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Market Snapshot

Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market — Revenue Forecast 2020–2034 (USD Billion)

Source: TrendX Insights Analysis based on secondary research and proprietary data models.
Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market Market Revenue 2020–2034 (USD Billion)
Year USD Billion YoY Growth
2020 20.10
2021 22.50 11.9%
2022 24.20 7.6%
2023 24.50 1.2%
2024 27.80 13.5%
2025 (Base) 28.70 3.2%
2026 (F) 29.70 3.5%
2027 (F) 31.60 6.4%
2028 (F) 34.00 7.6%
2029 (F) 36.90 8.5%
2030 (F) 40.20 8.9%
2031 (F) 43.80 9%
2032 (F) 47.70 8.9%
2033 (F) 51.90 8.8%
2034 (F) 56.40 8.7%
Key Takeaways
$56.40 Bn by 2034: up from $28.69 Bn in 2025.
7.80% CAGR: sustained compound annual growth across 2026–2034.
Regional leader: North America accounted for the largest share of the Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market in 2025, holding 72.0% of the global market.
Key players: Fannie Mae (agency MBS), Freddie Mac (agency MBS), Ginnie Mae (FHA/VA MBS), JPMorgan (MBS dealer), Goldman Sachs (MBS trading), Citi (MBS), Angel Oak (non-QM RMBS), Redwood Trust (jumbo RMBS), Wells Fargo (MBS dealer), PGIM Fixed Income (MBS analytics).

1. What Is the Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market?

Market Definition

The Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market encompasses the issuance fee, dealer spread, guarantee fee, and service revenues from the securitisation, trading, and administration of mortgage loan pools into tradeable fixed income instruments. Revenue streams include agency MBS guarantee fee revenues from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae programmes, non-agency RMBS and CMBS structuring and placement fee income, MBS dealer and broker market-making bid-offer spread. End users span institutional fixed income investors including insurance companies, pension funds, and money managers seeking agency MBS yield in diversified bond portfolios, banks managing MBS held-for-investment positions as liquid assets, and hedge. The market covers MBS fee and service revenues and excludes the underlying mortgage loan pool values, mortgage origination revenues, MBS coupon interest paid to investors, and broader securitisation administration covered in fund servicing.

2. Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market Size & Forecast

Market Data at a Glance
Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market — Key Metrics
2025 Market Size (Base Year)$28.69 Bn
2034 Market Size (Est.)$56.40 Bn
CAGR (2026–2034)7.80%
Forecast Period2026 – 2034
Industry Financial Services Mortgage-Backed Securities
CoverageGlobal (40+ countries)

3. Emerging Technologies

  1. MBS Prepayment Modelling Technology is the foundational MBS analytics mechanism, using statistical prepayment speed models estimating mortgage loan payoff rates from refinancing and housing turnover under interest rate scenarios. Continued prepayment model refinement enables accurate MBS duration and convexity analysis, generating analytics subscription revenue from MBS portfolio management.
  2. Agency MBS Pool Selection Technology advances investor portfolio management, using specified pool screening and TBA ramp analytics helping investors select the cheapest deliverable pools for specified pool trading strategies. Growing pool selection technology adoption enables institutional MBS optimisation, generating analytics subscription revenue from specified pool strategy tools.
  3. CMBS Credit Analytics Technology advances commercial mortgage risk assessment, using property valuation, DSCR, and LTV analytics evaluating commercial property loan credit quality within CMBS structures for investor due diligence. Growing CMBS credit analytics adoption enables informed investor assessment, generating subscription revenue from commercial mortgage credit analysis platforms.
  4. MBS Securitisation Administration Technology advances deal management, using trustee reporting, principal and interest distribution calculation, and waterfall administration systems managing MBS deal lifecycle from issuance. Growing securitisation administration platform deployment enables accurate deal management, generating administration service fee revenue from MBS trust administration.

Similar technologies are also transforming adjacent markets. Learn more in our Reverse Mortgage Market.

4. Key Market Opportunity

Growth Opportunity

A key opportunity in the Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market is non-QM and expanded credit mortgage securitisation, where creditworthy self-employed and investor borrowers outside GSE parameters represent a growing non-agency pool. Self-employed borrowers, real estate investors, and foreign national buyers with strong credit but non-standard income documentation cannot access GSE programmes and require non-agency RMBS securitisation for competitive mortgage execution. Non-QM RMBS issuance generates structuring and placement fee revenue from growing non-agency mortgage volume, creates a yield premium investor product, and expands the private label securitisation market outside GSE capacity. Non-QM originators and RMBS structurers building non-QM programme scale, investor education, and loan quality consistency are positioned to capture the growing non-agency RMBS structuring and placement revenue opportunity.

5. Top Companies in the Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market

The following organisations hold leading positions in the Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market. The full report provides revenue share, SWOT analysis, and competitive benchmarking for each player.

  • Fannie Mae (agency MBS)
  • Freddie Mac (agency MBS)
  • Ginnie Mae (FHA/VA MBS)
  • JPMorgan (MBS dealer)
  • Goldman Sachs (MBS trading)
  • Citi (MBS)
  • Angel Oak (non-QM RMBS)
  • Redwood Trust (jumbo RMBS)
  • Wells Fargo (MBS dealer)
  • PGIM Fixed Income (MBS analytics)
Note: This is based on preliminary research. The final published report will include 20+ company profiles with detailed market share analysis, revenue estimates, SWOT, and competitive benchmarking.

6. Market Segmentation

The Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market is analysed across 4 segmentation dimensions. Revenue data, growth rates, and competitive intensity by sub-segment are available in the full report.

Segmentation Sub-Segments
By MBS Type Agency MBS (FNMA FHLMC GNMA) 30-Year Agency Pass-Through 15-Year Agency Pass-Through Non-Agency RMBS Commercial MBS (CMBS) Conduit CMBS Single-Asset Single-Borrower CMBS Agency CMO and REMIC
By Trading Venue Agency MBS TBA Market Specified Pool CMBS Secondary Market Non-Agency RMBS OTC
By Investor Insurance Companies Money Managers Banks and GSEs Hedge Funds
By Geography North America Europe Asia Pacific Latin America Middle East and Africa
Note: Revenue forecasts, YoY growth rates, and market share analysis for each sub-segment are included in the full published report. The final report will cover data from 40+ countries, and the geographic scope can be further expanded based on your specific requirements. Additional segments can also be incorporated upon request. The current scope is based on preliminary research, while a comprehensive and detailed report will be developed upon order confirmation. Request data

7. Key Market Trends (2026–2034)

Three major forces are shaping the Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market trajectory over the forecast period:

Trend 1

Agency MBS TBA Market Generates Largest MBS Dealer Trading Revenue.The highly liquid to-be-announced agency MBS trading market enabling forward settlement of mortgage pools generates consistent dealer bid-offer spread revenue from the most active mortgage security trading activity. In 2025, agency MBS TBA market volumes remained among the largest fixed income daily trading markets, with bank and securities dealer MBS desks generating spread income from TBA market making across 30-year and.

Trend 2

Non-Agency RMBS Issuance Recovery Generates Premium Structuring Revenue.Post-pandemic housing market resilience and growing investor appetite for non-QM and jumbo mortgage credit has revived non-agency RMBS issuance, generating structuring and placement fee revenue for private label securitisers. In 2025, non-QM, jumbo, and investor loan RMBS issuance continued recovering with Wall Street structurers generating underwriting and placement fee revenue from private label mortgage securitisation outside the GSE guarantee framework.

Trend 3

CMBS Issuance Recovery Drives Commercial Real Estate Securitisation Revenue.Recovering commercial real estate lending and CMBS issuance following the post-pandemic office and retail property market repricing is generating structuring and placement fee revenue from the recovering CMBS securitisation channel. In 2025, CMBS conduit and single-asset single-borrower issuance recovered for financing multifamily, industrial, and mixed-use commercial properties, with structurers generating underwriting fee revenue from recovering CRE lending.

For related market intelligence, see the Residential Mortgage Backed Securities Rmbs Market.

8. Segmental Analysis

By type, the Agency MBS segment dominated the Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market in 2025, driven by the unparalleled scale of US government-backed mortgage securitisation through Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae programmes. Agency MBS dominance reflects the guarantee fee income and deep TBA dealer market scale, generating the largest type share of MBS market fee and trading revenue. The Non-agency RMBS segment is the fastest-growing mbs type category, driven by recovering private label mortgage securitisation from non-QM, jumbo, and investor loan origination volume. Growing non-QM origination, recovering private label programme investment, and rising investor appetite for mortgage credit spread are generating above-average structuring revenue from non-agency RMBS issuance.

By trading venue, the agency TBA market segment dominated the Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market in 2025, driven by the high daily trading volumes from the most liquid segment of the US fixed income market. Agency TBA dominance reflects the outstanding liquidity and dealer market depth, generating the largest venue share of MBS dealer bid-offer spread revenue. The CMBS secondary market segment is the fastest-growing trading venue category, driven by recovering commercial real estate loan origination creating new CMBS supply and secondary trading activity from recovering commercial property market fundamentals. Growing CMBS new issue supply, recovering CRE lending, and rising secondary market activity are generating above-average dealer spread revenue from CMBS.

By investor type, the Insurance companies segment dominated the Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market in 2025, driven by large allocation to agency and investment-grade CMBS for spread income with regulatory capital efficiency. Insurance company dominance reflects the spread income demand and regulatory capital treatment advantage, generating the largest end-user share of MBS investor placement and analytics revenue. The Money managers segment is the fastest-growing investor type category, driven by growing fixed income fund allocation to agency MBS as a core liquid investment grade bond market sector with attractive risk-adjusted spread. Growing active and passive fixed income fund MBS allocation, expanding bond fund agency MBS exposure, and rising benchmark inclusion are generating above-average revenue from money manager MBS investor participation.

Full segmental data, granular revenue tables, and CAGR by segment, are available in the complete syndicated report (available upon order) Request full report

9. Regional Analysis

Regional demand patterns across the Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market reflect differences in regulation, technological maturity, and capital investment.

Dominant Region

Largest Market Share

North America accounted for the largest share of the Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Market in 2025, holding 72.0% of the global market. The world's largest agency MBS market through Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae programmes, the deepest agency TBA trading infrastructure, and the recovering non-agency RMBS market underpin the dominant share. Strong US agency MBS guarantee and dealer spread revenues, growing non-QM RMBS structuring fees, and recovering CMBS issuance income generate premium MBS market revenue. Expanding non-QM RMBS, recovering CMBS issuance, and rising agency MBS TBA volume drive consistent MBS market revenue growth.

Fastest Growing

Highest CAGR Region

Europe is expected to register the highest CAGR of 10.50% during the forecast period. Growing European covered bond and RMBS market development, expanding institutional investor appetite for European mortgage credit, and rising non-performing loan securitisation activity are generating above-average MBS market revenue growth. Growing European RMBS and covered bond issuance, expanding non-bank mortgage lender securitisation programmes, and rising NPL ABS structuring activity are driving above-average new MBS market fee and service revenue creation. Expanding European securitisation framework development, growing mortgage capital market depth, and rising non-bank originator issuance are generating the fastest MBS market revenue growth globally.

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Research Prepared by TrendX Insights
Saurav Sarkar
Senior Research Analyst at TrendX Insights
This report was prepared by the TrendX Insights research team and reviewed by Saurav Sarkar, Senior Research Analyst at TrendX Insights. He has deep expertise in analyzing market dynamics and emerging technology trends across consumer, healthcare, and digital sectors. Our team conducts in-depth research to analyze key market players, supply chains, and regulatory landscapes globally.
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